NYSE: TRGP

Targa Resources (TRGP) Stock Analysis & Forecast

Oct 12 close

$290.54+3.84 (+1.3%)

Gekko Brief

AI summaryOct 12 close

Targa Resources moves this week on a mix of analyst activity and continued attention to its Q2 2026 results. Citigroup raised its price target to $325 after the company exceeded Q3 earnings estimates, Stifel trimmed its target to $335 while keeping a Buy rating and citing heavier spending on expansion projects, and Barclays lifted its target to $294.00 following adjusted EBITDA of $1.603 billion in the second quarter. Coverage also points to the Q2 2026 earnings call, which described a 38% year-over-year increase in adjusted EBITDA driven by record Permian Basin volumes, with full-year guidance now expected at the top end of its range.

Shares close at $290.54, up 1.3%, sitting above both the 50-day average of $283.44 and the 200-day average of $251.40, with the 50-day above the 200-day. The stock trades in the Neutral zone of the GekkoIndex, with a reading of 54.4, and sits 3.2% below Gekko Fair Value of $300.20.

Targa reports earnings on 4 November 2026, 22 days away, placing the release inside a typical 20-trading-day holding period; the prior quarter saw EPS of $2.51 against an estimate of $2.30, with a 1.6% reaction. Seasonality from this point in the calendar has averaged a 10.2% move over the next 20 trading days across 5 years, rising in 5 of them. No insider, Congress or unusual options activity appears in the respective windows.

Written by AI from the Oct 12, 2026 close and checked automatically against the figures on this page.

Targa Resources price vs fair value

$300.35$290.54Oct ’25Apr ’26Oct ’26
Close $290.54200-day averageGekko Fair Value $300.35

Targa Resources quick facts

Market cap
$62.36B
P/E ratio
27.4
Forward P/E
23.2
EPS, TTM
$10.46
Revenue, TTM
$16.74B
Profit margin
13.6%
Dividend yield
1.56%
Beta
0.80
Volume
632,402 avg 1.19M
1-year return
+80.1%
Typical daily move
±2.4%
Typical 20-day move
±6%
50-day average
$283.44
200-day average
$251.40
Next earnings
Nov 4
Shares outstanding
214.4M
52-week range
$144.14$307.94

Targa Resources swing-trade checklist

Targa Resources scores 2 supportive, 2 mixed and 1 headwind across the 5 checklist items with data.

Six things swing traders check before a 20-day hold, read from the latest data.

2 supportive2 mixed1 headwind

  • Trendsupportive

    Above 50 and 200-day

    Close $290.54 is above the 50-day ($283.44) and 200-day ($251.40) averages, and the 50-day is above the 200-day.

    See the chart
  • GekkoIndexmixed

    54.4, Neutral

    Reading 54.4 is in the Neutral zone.

    See the GekkoIndex
  • Fair valuemixed

    3.3% below

    Price is within 5% of Gekko Fair Value (3.3% below).

    See fair value
  • Smart moneyno data

    No data

    No insider, Congress or unusual options activity in the window.

    See smart money
  • Earnings riskheadwind

    Reports in 22 days

    Reports on Nov 4, 2026, 22 days away — inside a typical 20-trading-day hold.

    See earnings
  • Seasonalitysupportive

    +6.1% on average

    From this point in the calendar, the next 20 trading days averaged +6.1% over 5 years, rising in 4 of them.

    See seasonality

A description of current data, not a recommendation. How this page works

Targa Resources stock chart and price history

Targa Resources closed at $290.54 on Oct 12, 2026, +80.1% over the past year, inside a 52-week range of $144.14 to $307.94.

Close50-day average200-day averageVolume
Targa Resources share price, past year, with 50-day and 200-day moving averages and volume$150$200$250NovDecJan 2026FebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOct290.54

Use the left and right arrow keys to read daily values.

Performance Breakdown

1 month
+0.1%
3 months
+3.2%
6 months
+20.8%
1 year
+80.1%
The full TRGP chart adds GekkoIndex, insider, options, Congress and hedge fund markers, plus TrendCandles™.Open TRGP in Gekko

Follow Targa Resources through every session

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About Targa Resources

Targa Resources works across the middle of the North American energy chain, handling infrastructure that gathers, processes, transports and stores natural gas, natural gas liquids and crude oil. Its work includes collecting and treating natural gas, fractionating and moving NGLs, and gathering and selling crude oil, alongside wholesale propane distribution and services for LPG exporters. The company is also known for the scale of its network, which includes roughly 28,400 miles of natural gas pipelines, 42 processing plants, and 34 storage wells with about 76 million barrels of gross capacity.

Operations are organized into two segments, Gathering and Processing, and Logistics and Transportation. Through these, Targa serves a mix of customers that includes multi-state retailers, independent businesses, end-users, and refineries and petrochemical companies along the Gulf Coast, while also buying, marketing and reselling natural gas and NGL products, and offering NGL balancing and transport support using a fleet of leased railcars, transport tractors and NGL barges.

Targa Resources was founded in 2005 and is based in Houston, Texas. Its shares are listed on the NYSE under the ticker TRGP.

Listed
NYSE
Sector
Utilities
Industry
Gas distributors
Website
targaresources.com

Targa Resources GekkoIndex: the smart money zone

Targa Resources’s GekkoIndex — Gekko’s 0 to 100 smart money score — reads 54.4, in the Neutral zone, down 2.7 points over five sessions.

010054.4Neutral

Down 2.7 points over five sessions.

Reading for Oct 12, 2026

What followed past readings in each zone

ZoneReadings5 days10 days20 days50 days
Buying10+4.0%+7.1%+6.6%+7.3%
Accumulation127+1.5%+3.1%+5.0%+3.9%
Neutral (current zone)442+0.6%+1.2%+3.1%+10.6%
Distribution94+1.9%+3.7%+6.1%+12.1%
Selling9Too few readings yet

Average TRGP share-price change over the trading days after each daily reading in its GekkoIndex history. Across every stock Gekko tracks, Neutral readings averaged +1.1% over 20 days. Past behaviour doesn’t guarantee future results.

Neutral zone: No clear directional signal. About the five zones →

See every daily GekkoIndex reading plotted over the TRGP price, zone by zone.Track TRGP in Gekko

Is Targa Resources stock overvalued? Gekko Fair Value

Targa Resources trades 3.3% below Gekko Fair Value of $300.35, so the shares are about fair value on Gekko’s estimate.

Gekko’s own estimate of what Targa Resources shares are worth, recalculated every trading day.

$300.35

Gekko Fair Value, Oct 13, 2026

3.3% below fair value · About fair value

At the end of Aug 2026 the price was 1.1% below the estimate.

Gekko Fair ValueShare price, month end
$300$291Aug 2026SepOct 2026

How Gekko Fair Value works →

Gekko Fair Value on every chart, with the gap to price updating daily.Open TRGP in Gekko

Targa Resources insider and Congress trading

No open-market insider purchases were filed for Targa Resources, and no Congress trades were disclosed, in the last 90 days.

Plus buybacks, unusual options and fund positions, each dated to when it became public.

Insider buying last 90 days

No open-market insider purchases were filed for TRGP in the last 90 days.

From Form 4 filings, dated to when each was filed.

Every TRGP insider filing, plotted on the chart in Gekko.Open TRGP in Gekko

Congress trades last 90 days

No trades in TRGP were disclosed by members of Congress in the last 90 days.

From congressional disclosures, which report amounts as ranges.

Congress disclosures for TRGP, plotted on the chart in Gekko.Open TRGP in Gekko

Buybacks

Targa Resources has been buying back its own shares.

Bought back, quarter ended Jun 30, 2026
$80.10M
As a share of market cap
0.13%
Trailing four quarters
$327.7M

From company filings.

Hedge funds and billionaires quarter ended Jun 30

1of the funds Gekko tracks holds TRGP.

0added1opened0trimmed0sold out
Which funds are on each side, name by name.Unlock in Gekko

Targa Resources earnings: next date and track record

Targa Resources reports on Nov 4, 2026 (22 days away), and beat the EPS estimate in 5 of its last 8 reports.

5 of 8reports beat the EPS estimate
±4.7%average move across the report
5 of 8reports followed by a gain

Share-price move across each report

−0.1%May ’24−3.5%Aug ’24+10.0%Nov ’24+2.4%Feb ’25−8.9%Apr ’25+1.3%Aug ’25+9.9%Nov ’25+1.6%Feb ’26

Last earnings call, Feb 19, 2026 AI summary

What they said
TRGP delivered record 2025 performance with $4.96 billion adjusted EBITDA, up over $800 million year-over-year. Permian volumes grew 11% (600+ MMcf/d increase), NGL transport volumes up 170,000 bpd, and frac volumes increased 120,000+ bpd. Company announced two new projects: Delaware processing plant Yet II and 13th fractionator in Mont Belvieu, with plans for 8 total plants over next 2 years adding 2.2 Bcf/d processing capacity.
Guidance
Management expects another year of low double-digit Permian volume growth in 2026. Post-Speedway completion in H2 2027, annual growth capital spending expected to average $2.5 billion in sustained high single-digit to low double-digit volume growth environment.
ReportedEPSSurpriseRevenueSurpriseMove
Feb 19, 2026$2.51
est $2.30
+9.1%$4.06B
est $4.73B
−14.3%+1.6%
Nov 5, 2025$2.20
est $2.11
+4.3%$4.20B
est $4.56B
−7.9%+9.9%
Aug 7, 2025$2.87
est $1.86
+54.3%$4.03B
est $4.89B
−17.6%+1.3%
Apr 30, 2025$1.89
est $2.05
−8.0%$4.56B
est $4.90B
−6.9%−8.9%
Feb 13, 2025$1.82
est $1.83
−0.7%——+2.4%
Nov 5, 2024$1.74
est $1.55
+12.3%$3.85B
est $4.06B
−5.1%+10.0%
Aug 1, 2024$1.33
est $1.27
+4.7%$3.62B
est $4.47B
−19.1%−3.5%
May 2, 2024$1.22
est $1.30
−6.2%$4.60B
est $4.30B
+6.9%−0.1%

“Move” is the close of the first session after the report compared with the close of the last session before it, so it reads the same whether the company reported before the open or after the close.

Targa Resources stock forecast and analyst price targets

Analysts’ average 12-month price target for Targa Resources is $325.71, +12.1% from the last close, from 15 firms rating the stock in the last 90 days.

$325.71consensus 12-month target, +12.1% from the last close
Low $294High $359
Buy15
Hold0
Sell0

Each firm’s latest rating in the last 90 days: 15 firms.

Latest analyst actions

DateFirmRatingTargetvs price
Oct 9Stifel NicolausBuy, maintained$335+15.3%
Oct 8BarclaysBuy, maintained$294+1.2%
Oct 6RBC CapitalBuy, reiterated$338+16.3%
Sep 21Truist FinancialBuy, reiterated$345+18.7%
Sep 18TD CowenBuy, upgraded$350+20.5%
+3.1%average 20-day move after past Neutral readings
+6.1%average move over the next 20 trading days in the last 5 years
±2.4%typical daily move, from the 14-day average range

Gekko doesn’t publish price predictions. These are analyst targets and historical base rates, which don’t guarantee future results.

Targa Resources seasonality: the next 20 trading days

Over the next 20 trading days from Oct 13, Targa Resources averaged +6.1% across the last 5 years, rising in 4 of them.

Next 20 trading days, by year

+1.1%2021+4.7%2022−3.0%2023+17.0%2024+11.7%2025

Average move and hit rate

WindowAverageYears higher
Next 5 trading days−0.4%1 of 5
Next 10 trading days−0.3%3 of 5
Next 15 trading days+1.4%4 of 5
Next 20 trading days+6.1%4 of 5
Next 30 trading days+9.9%5 of 5

For scale, TRGP’s typical 20-trading-day move in either direction is about 6%.

Targa Resources market cap and key statistics

Targa Resources’s market cap is $62.36B, with a P/E ratio of 27.4 and revenue of $16.74B over the last twelve months.

Valuation

Market cap
$62.36B
P/E ratio
27.4
Forward P/E
23.2
EPS, TTM
$10.46
Gekko Fair Value
$300.35

Trading

Volume
632,402
Avg volume, 20 days
1.19M
52-week high
$307.94
52-week low
$144.14
Shares outstanding
214.4M

Financials

Revenue, TTM
$16.74B
Profit margin
13.6%
Return on equity
70.8%
Quarterly earnings growth, YoY
+23.3%

Risk and income

Beta
0.80
Typical daily move
±2.4%
Typical 20-day move
±6%
Dividend yield
1.56%

Targa Resources peers

Targa Resources’s 6 largest industry peers by market value, with today’s move, GekkoIndex zone and gap to Gekko Fair Value.

StockTodayGekkoIndex zonevs Fair Value
SRESempra+0.5%Neutral8.6% below
CQPCheniere Energy Partners−0.3%Neutral34.7% below
ATOAtmos Energy+0.5%Neutral6.2% below
NINiSource+1.0%Neutral13.6% above
SWXSouthwest Gas+3.0%Neutral7.9% below
BKHBlack Hills+0.1%Distribution0.3% above

A peer links to its own page where one exists.

In the Buying zone today

Reporting earnings this week

Popular on Gekko

Targa Resources stock FAQ

What is Targa Resources’s market cap?

Targa Resources’s market cap is $62.36B at the Oct 12, 2026 close of $290.54, with 214.4M shares outstanding. The shares trade on a P/E ratio of 27.4.

What is the Targa Resources stock forecast?

The consensus analyst 12-month price target for Targa Resources is $325.71, +12.1% from the last close. Of the 15 firms that rated the stock in the last 90 days, 15 rate it a buy, 0 a hold and 0 a sell. Gekko doesn’t publish price predictions of its own.

Is Targa Resources stock overvalued or undervalued?

On Gekko’s estimate Targa Resources is about fair value: the Oct 12, 2026 close of $290.54 is 3.3% below Gekko Fair Value of $300.35. Gekko Fair Value is recalculated every trading day, and a gap inside 5% either way counts as about fair value.

When does Targa Resources report earnings next?

Targa Resources is expected to report on Nov 4, 2026 (22 days away). Analysts expect earnings of $2.69 per share on revenue of $4.72B. Targa Resources beat the earnings estimate in 5 of its last 8 reports, moving 4.7% on average across the report.

What is Targa Resources’s 52-week high and low?

Targa Resources’s 52-week high is $307.94 and its 52-week low is $144.14; it closed at $290.54 on Oct 12, 2026, +80.1% over the past year.

Is Targa Resources stock a buy right now?

Gekko describes the data; it does not make buy or sell recommendations. On the swing-trade checklist, 2 of the 5 items with data read as supportive (trend and seasonality), 2 as mixed (gekkoindex and fair value) and 1 as a headwind (earnings risk). The checklist is a description of current data, not a recommendation.

How this page works

During US trading hours the price at the top of the page is a delayed quote, refreshed every 15 minutes; everything else is rebuilt after each US market close. The GekkoIndex, Gekko Fair Value and the checklist are Gekko’s own, and the Gekko Brief is written by AI from this page’s data and checked against it before it is published. How Gekko’s data works →

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